Natural Gas ($GAS) Commodity Forecast: Up 5.0% Today

What is Natural Gas?

Natural Gas is a widely used commodity for heating and electricity generation, with its prices highly influenced by factors such as weather forecasts, production levels, storage supplies, and export demands. Today, Natural Gas experienced a strong bullish movement in the market.

Why is Natural Gas going up?

GAS commodity is up 5.0% on Dec 17, 2025 20:05

• The bullish movement in Natural Gas prices today can be attributed to a rebound from recent lows, driven by traders taking profits and strengthened LNG export flows.
• Despite the short-term price increase, the market outlook remains uncertain due to above-average temperatures forecasted across the US, potentially reducing heating demand.
• Record-high production levels and ample storage supplies continue to exert downward pressure on prices, indicating a delicate balance between supply and demand dynamics in the Natural Gas market.
• The fluctuating nature of Natural Gas prices underscores the importance of closely monitoring factors like weather patterns, production levels, and export trends for informed trading decisions in this volatile market.

GAS Price Chart

GAS Technical Analysis

GAS News

Natural Gas Prices Rise 3%

US natural gas futures climbed more than 3% to trade above $4 per MMBtu, rebounding from seven-week lows as traders stepped in to take profits and LNG export flows strengthened. Average gas deliveries to the eight major U.S. LNG export facilities rose to 18.6 Bcf/d so far this month, exceeding November’s record monthly average of 18.2 Bcf/d. Meanwhile, Freeport LNG’s export terminal in Texas was set to take in higher volumes on Wednesday, suggesting that one of its three liquefaction trains has returned to service after shutting down a day earlier. The advance, however, may be short-lived. Weather forecasts across much of the U.S. point to above-average temperatures heading into Christmas, potentially curbing heating demand. At the same time, record-high production and ample storage supplies continue to pressure prices. LSEG estimates Lower-48 natural gas output at around 109.7 Bcf/d so far in December, broadly in line with the record levels seen in November.

Natural Gas Prices in the US Fall Further

US natural gas futures continued to slide, falling to $3.80 per MMBtu, the lowest level since late October, and are now down roughly 27% from a three-year high reached on December 5. Weather forecasts across the US point to above-average temperatures for much of the country though December 31, which could curb heating demand. At the same time, record production levels and ample storage supplies continue to weigh on prices. LSEG estimates Lower-48 output at around 109.5 Bcf/d so far in December, down from record highs set in November. According to the latest EIA data, US utilities withdrew 177 Bcf from underground storage in the week ended December 5, slightly above expectations and representing the first significant draw of the season. Meanwhile, US LNG exports remain robust, with shipments in November reaching a record 10.9 million metric tonnes, around 70% of which were destined for Europe.

Natural Gas Prices in the US Continue to Weaken

US natural gas futures fell more than 2% to around $4 per MMBtu, extending losses for a third consecutive session and marking the lowest level since late October. Weather forecasts across the US point to above-average temperatures for much of the country ahead of Christmas, which could curb heating demand. At the same time, record production levels and ample storage supplies continue to weigh on prices. LSEG estimates Lower-48 output at around 109.7 Bcf/d so far in December, broadly in line with the record highs set in November. According to the latest EIA data, US utilities withdrew 177 Bcf from underground storage in the week ended December 5, slightly above expectations and representing the first significant draw of the season. Meanwhile, US LNG exports remain robust, with shipments in November reaching a record 10.9 million metric tonnes, around 70% of which were destined for Europe.

Natural gas traded below 4 USD/MMBtu

Natural gas decreased below 4, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD).

Natural gas Hits 5-week Low

Natural gas decreased to 4.23 USD/MMBtu, the lowest since November 2025. Over the past 4 weeks, Natural gas lost 6.4%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 22.8%.

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Natural Gas Price History

17.11.2025 - GAS Commodity was up 5.0%

• The bullish movement in Natural Gas prices today can be attributed to a rebound from recent lows, driven by traders taking profits and strengthened LNG export flows.
• Despite the short-term price increase, the market outlook remains uncertain due to above-average temperatures forecasted across the US, potentially reducing heating demand.
• Record-high production levels and ample storage supplies continue to exert downward pressure on prices, indicating a delicate balance between supply and demand dynamics in the Natural Gas market.
• The fluctuating nature of Natural Gas prices underscores the importance of closely monitoring factors like weather patterns, production levels, and export trends for informed trading decisions in this volatile market.

19.10.2025 - GAS Commodity was up 5.7%

• Natural gas prices surged today due to colder forecasts for early December, increasing heating demand and sparking buying interest.
• The market movement was also supported by expectations of the first storage withdrawal of the season and robust LNG feedgas demand, particularly from US export plants.
• Despite strong US production levels and ample storage, the anticipation of colder weather conditions in the near term contributed to the bullish movement in natural gas prices.
• Traders are closely monitoring weather patterns, export demand, and production levels to gauge the future direction of natural gas prices.

05.11.2025 - GAS Commodity was up 5.3%

• Natural Gas prices reached a 3-year high above $5/MMBtu, attributed to various factors:
• European countries reducing reliance on Russian LNG, leading to increased demand for US natural gas exports.
• Cold weather forecasts in North America driving up heating demand.
• Strong US LNG export growth of 40% annually in November.
• Despite a slight decrease from the peak, prices remained almost 70% higher compared to October lows, reflecting positive market sentiment.
• An unexpected rise in storage data resulted in a brief price decline, underscoring the market's responsiveness to supply metrics amid robust demand.
• Overall, the uptrend in Natural Gas prices is backed by geopolitical changes, weather forecasts, and export demand, signaling a favorable outlook for the commodity in the short term.

11.10.2025 - GAS Commodity was up 5.5%

• Natural gas prices surged to an 8-month high due to strong export demand and record activity at LNG facilities, with flows to major plants hitting new highs.
• The bullish trend was supported by US output levels exceeding those of October, contributing to increased storage levels and higher consumption projections.
• The 4-day rally came to a halt as prices dipped on mild weather forecasts and rising output, despite ongoing strong LNG flows driven by overseas demand from Europe and Asia.

11.10.2025 - GAS Commodity was up 5.3%

• Natural gas prices surged to nearly 3-year highs due to colder December forecasts, higher power demand, and strong export activity to Europe and Asia.
• The bullish movement was supported by record activity at LNG facilities and increased US production levels, which helped offset rising exports.
• However, the prices snapped a 4-day rally and fell over 2% as output increased, and mild weather forecasts reduced near-term heating demand, despite strong export flows to major US LNG plants.
• The market movement showcases the volatility of natural gas prices, heavily influenced by weather patterns, production levels, export demands, and storage inventories.

18.10.2025 - GAS Commodity was down 5.0%

• Natural gas futures fell by over 4% to $4.45/MMBtu due to a larger-than-expected storage build, indicating ample supply levels.
• Traders weighed short-term mild weather conditions against strong export demand and forecasts of colder weather in early December, which could potentially boost heating needs and support prices.
• Despite the decrease in prices, LNG exports remained robust, driven by European demand amid reduced Russian supply, maintaining pressure on the market.
• The overall market sentiment was influenced by a combination of factors including weather forecasts, storage levels, export demand, and global energy demand outlook, contributing to the bearish movement in natural gas prices.

08.11.2025 - GAS Commodity was down 5.2%

• Natural gas prices dropped by 5.01% to $5.0239 USD/MMBtu.
• Profit-taking after reaching three-year highs caused the retreat in natural gas prices, which had increased by about 70% since mid-October.
• Despite strong export demand and cold weather boosting consumption, higher-than-expected storage data and profit-taking led to the pullback in prices.
• The ongoing phase-out of Russian LNG by European countries and the surge in US LNG exports also influenced market sentiment, contributing to the bearish movement in natural gas prices.

11.11.2025 - GAS Commodity was down 7.5%

• Natural gas prices hit a 5-week low, dropping to $4.23/MMBtu, the lowest since November 2025. This decrease can be attributed to milder weather forecasts through December 23rd, easing demand pressure, and near-record production levels, leading to ample storage and weighing on prices.
• Despite the recent retreat, prices remain close to three-year highs, supported by strong export demand and cold weather in the US. However, profit-taking and the lack of Russian LNG in Europe by 2027 have impacted the market sentiment.
• US LNG exports surged 40% year-on-year in November, reaching 10.7 million tonnes, showcasing the strong demand for natural gas globally. This surge in exports, coupled with robust production levels, has contributed to larger-than-normal inventories and downward pressure on prices.
• The overall market movement reflects a combination of factors such as weather forecasts, production levels, export demand, and geopolitical developments, leading to the bearish trend in natural gas prices today.

16.11.2025 - GAS Commodity was down 5.0%

• Natural gas prices fell below $4 per MMBtu due to above-average temperatures across the US, leading to reduced heating demand.
• Record production levels and ample storage supplies also contributed to the bearish movement in prices.
• Despite robust US LNG exports, the market sentiment was weighed down by the combination of weather forecasts and high production levels.
• The downward trend in natural gas prices is likely to continue until there is a significant shift in demand or supply dynamics.

12.10.2025 - GAS Commodity was up 5.7%

• Natural gas prices surged to a 35-week high of $4.58 USD/MMBtu, driven by various factors:
• Traders betting on colder December weather and higher power demand.
• Strong export demand, particularly from Europe reducing reliance on Russian gas and increased Asian imports.
• Record activity at US LNG facilities, with flows to major plants hitting new highs.
• Despite milder temperatures expected next week, the market remains optimistic about sustained demand.
• US production levels are robust, helping offset rising exports and contributing to storage levels above seasonal norms.
• The overall outlook for Natural Gas remains positive, with expectations of new highs in both supply and demand driven by various factors like data center energy needs and growing LNG exports.

09.11.2025 - GAS Commodity was down 5.6%

• Natural gas prices decreased by 5% to around $4.67/MMBtu as milder weather forecasts through December 23rd reduced demand pressure.
• Prices remain close to three-year highs, up approximately 70% since mid-October, supported by strong export demand and cold weather across the US.
• The decision by European countries to phase out Russian LNG by 2027 has influenced the market, contributing to the ongoing avoidance of Russian gas and boosting demand for US LNG exports.
• Robust production levels and ample storage in the US, along with near-record output and larger-than-normal inventories, continue to weigh on natural gas prices despite the seasonal increase in demand.

09.11.2025 - GAS Commodity was down 5.1%

• Natural gas prices dropped significantly to around $4.80/MMBtu, influenced by factors such as milder weather forecasts reducing demand and near-record production levels.
• Ample storage levels also contributed to the bearish movement, along with profit-taking behavior and higher-than-expected storage data.
• Despite reaching three-year highs recently, the market saw a pullback due to these factors, despite strong export demand and cold weather supporting prices.
• The decision by European countries to phase out Russian LNG by 2027 has impacted global dynamics, affecting US producers' export opportunities.