NASDAQ-100 ($NDX) Index Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

What is NASDAQ-100?

The NDX index represents the Nasdaq 100, which includes the top 100 non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. It is heavily weighted towards the technology sector, with companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon.

Why is NASDAQ-100 going down?

NDX index is down 5.1% on Apr 10, 2025 19:45

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to:
• The cooling inflation rate in March, which raised hopes for near-term Fed rate cuts, leading to market uncertainty.
• China's warnings to its citizens about US travel, reflecting escalating trade tensions after the US implemented new tariffs on Chinese imports.
• Expectations of lower market returns following the S&P 500's significant gains and concerns about weak near-term performance.
• Despite the overall bearish movement, billionaire investor Bill Ackman's praise for Trump's tariff pause and Goldman Sachs' withdrawal of the recession call post-tariff announcement indicate some positive sentiment in the market.

NDX Price Chart

NDX Technical Analysis

NDX News

March Inflation Rate Cools Far More Than Expected, Raises Hopes For Near-Term Fed Rate Cuts

Inflation fell to 2.4% in March, the lowest level in six months, raising hopes for near-term Fed rate cuts. However, the news led to a decline in S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures as markets digested the cooling inflation and Trump's tariff pause.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/04/44733390/march-inflation-rate-cools-far-more-than-expected-raises-hopes-for-near-term-fed-rate-cuts

US Stocks Likely To Open Lower Ahead Of March Inflation Release: Expert Highlights 'Fairly Weak Returns' After 5%+ Gains In S&P 500

U.S. stock futures are expected to open lower ahead of the March inflation data release. Experts highlight that after the S&P 500's 5%+ gains on Wednesday, the returns in the near term are likely to be 'fairly weak'.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/04/44729572/us-stocks-likely-to-open-lower-ahead-of-march-inflation-release-expert-highlights-fairly-weak-retur

China Warns Citizens Over US Travel After Trump's Tariff Hike Triggers Retaliation, Cites 'Deteriorating' Relations And Rising Security Risks

China issued warnings to its citizens regarding travel to the US, citing deteriorating bilateral relations and rising security risks after the US implemented new tariffs on Chinese imports. China responded with reciprocal tariff hikes, escalating the trade conflict.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/04/44727311/china-warns-citizens-over-us-travel-after-trumps-tariff-hike-triggers-retaliation-cites-deteriorating

Billionaire Investor Bill Ackman Praises Trump's Tariff Pause: 'Thank You On Behalf Of All Americans'

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman praised President Donald Trump's decision to place a 90-day pause on tariffs, calling it the 'perfect setup for trade negotiations' and advising China to act quickly to avoid losing market share.

https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/04/44723751/billionaire-investor-bill-ackman-praises-trumps-tariff-pause-thank-you-on-behalf-of-all-americans

Goldman Sachs Scraps Recession Call After Trump's Surprise Tariff Pause As Wall Street Marks Strongest Day Since 2008

Goldman Sachs withdrew its recession call after President Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause for non-retaliating nations, leading to a strong market rally.

https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44723376/goldman-sachs-scraps-recession-call-after-trumps-surprise-tariff-pause-as-wall-street-mark

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NASDAQ-100 Price History

10.03.2025 - NDX Index was up 13.4%

• The bullish movement in the NDX index can be attributed to President Trump's decision to pause tariffs for 90 days, leading to optimism for trade negotiations and a market rally.
• Billionaire investor Bill Ackman's praise for Trump's tariff pause may have added to the positive sentiment, as it was seen as a positive development for American businesses.
• Goldman Sachs withdrawing its recession call after the tariff pause could have further boosted investor confidence and contributed to the market rally.
• The warnings issued by China to its citizens regarding US travel and the escalating trade conflict may have caused some initial uncertainty, but the positive developments in trade relations likely overshadowed these concerns, leading to the bullish market movement.

10.03.2025 - NDX Index was down 5.1%

• The bearish movement in the NDX index today can be attributed to:
• The cooling inflation rate in March, which raised hopes for near-term Fed rate cuts, leading to market uncertainty.
• China's warnings to its citizens about US travel, reflecting escalating trade tensions after the US implemented new tariffs on Chinese imports.
• Expectations of lower market returns following the S&P 500's significant gains and concerns about weak near-term performance.
• Despite the overall bearish movement, billionaire investor Bill Ackman's praise for Trump's tariff pause and Goldman Sachs' withdrawal of the recession call post-tariff announcement indicate some positive sentiment in the market.

10.03.2025 - NDX Index was up 11.0%

• The US stock market is expected to open lower due to concerns over the March inflation data release, leading to a potential shift in investor sentiment.
• China's warning to its citizens regarding US travel, in response to the trade conflict escalation with new tariffs, adds to the geopolitical tensions that could impact global markets.
• Billionaire investor Bill Ackman's praise for Trump's tariff pause indicates optimism for trade negotiations, potentially calming market uncertainties.
• Goldman Sachs' withdrawal of the recession call after the tariff pause signals increased market confidence, contributing to the strong market rally and positive sentiment towards economic outlook.

04.03.2025 - NDX Index was down 5.0%

• The Nasdaq-100 (NDX) experienced a strong bearish movement today, entering bear market territory, while the Dow also entered correction territory.
• Trade war fears and President Trump's tariffs announcement have overshadowed positive economic indicators like the strong March jobs report, leading to a broad market selloff.
• Investors are anxiously awaiting remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for insights on potential monetary policy responses to the current market conditions.
• Despite the market downturn, some analysts are recommending growth stocks like Broadcom and Trimble, as well as the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF, for long-term investment opportunities, citing their potential for wealth building even in a falling market.

04.03.2025 - NDX Index was down 5.3%

• The NDX showed a notable downward trend today, aligning with the general market decline.
• Criticism arose over President Trump's tariff announcement, drawing comparisons to the Smoot Hawley Act, which fueled market pessimism and resulted in the NDX's decline.
• Despite the prevailing negative outlook, insights emphasizing the long-term growth possibilities of stocks like Broadcom and Trimble, along with the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF, point to potential opportunities for investors during the market turbulence.
• Goldman Sachs' raised likelihood of a recession and caution regarding additional market adjustments reinforced the adverse sentiment surrounding the NDX, contributing to its bearish performance.

04.03.2025 - NDX Index was down 6.0%

• The bearish movement in the NDX today can be attributed to the escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China, as highlighted by concerns about tariffs potentially raising inflation and impacting economic growth.
• Analysts warning of a significant setback for the U.S. tech industry due to tariff policies could have spooked investors, leading to a sell-off in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq-100.
• The overall market sentiment, with the Nasdaq-100 entering bear market territory and the Dow in correction territory, reflects the uncertainty and fear among traders regarding the potential impact of trade wars on corporate earnings and economic stability.
• The negative outlook on stock futures and the criticism of tariff announcements as reminiscent of historical trade legislation suggest that market participants are bracing for further volatility and downside risk in the near term.

09.03.2025 - NDX Index was down 5.3%

• Despite the market downturn, PayPal stands out as a strong player with healthy cash flow and optimistic forward guidance for 2025, potentially aiding its resilience during broader market declines.
• Recent insights on investing in the Nasdaq-100 point to potential challenges ahead, impacting the index's growth trajectory and contributing to today's bearish movement.
• Comments from Powell regarding tariffs' impact on inflation and economic stability may have spurred market uncertainty, influencing the bearish sentiment seen in the NDX.
• Concerns over Trump's trade war and its implications for the U.S. tech sector versus China may have intensified investor worries, playing a role in the NDX's bearish trend.

09.03.2025 - NDX Index was down 5.6%

• The downward movement in the NDX today could be linked to market uncertainty, prompting experts to recommend prioritizing capital preservation.
• Comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell regarding the potential impact of tariffs on inflation may have contributed to investor apprehension, resulting in a NDX sell-off.
• Amid the prevailing bearish sentiment, PayPal excelled with solid performance and an optimistic forecast, exhibiting resilience in the face of market volatility.
• Discussions around the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF's outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and its exposure to innovative technology companies might have attracted investors seeking long-term growth prospects despite the market's bearish trajectory.

09.03.2025 - NDX Index was up 3.7%

• A warning about potential 'market dysfunction' in the U.S. Treasury market and the possibility of the 'Fed put' being activated may have led investors to seek alternative assets like tech stocks, boosting the Nasdaq-100.
• Advice to focus on capital preservation due to high uncertainty in the market could have driven investors towards the relatively stable and growth-oriented companies within the Nasdaq-100 index.
• PayPal's strong financial performance and raised forward guidance may have contributed to positive sentiment towards tech stocks, including those in the Nasdaq-100, leading to increased buying interest.
• Discussions about the outperformance of the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF compared to the S&P 500 and the potential for high returns by investing in innovative technology companies could have attracted more investors to the Nasdaq-100 index, fueling its bullish movement.

09.03.2025 - NDX Index was up 12.6%

• President Trump's decision to implement a 90-day pause on tariffs was met with great enthusiasm by billionaire investors like Bill Ackman, sparking a vigorous market rally.
• The withdrawal of Goldman Sachs' recession prediction following the tariff pause also contributed to the optimistic mood in the market.
• Economist Craig Shapiro's concerns about potential 'market dysfunction' and the importance of capital preservation amid high uncertainty may have been overshadowed by the positive developments related to tariffs and the market rally.
• The positive outlook for PayPal, including robust cash flow generation and an improved forward guidance, likely bolstered the overall bullish sentiment in the market.

02.03.2025 - NDX Index was down 1.1%

• Market uncertainty, particularly in the tech sector, has led to a bearish movement in the NDX index.
• The recommendation of the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF as a good investment option during this time might have attracted investors, but the overall market sentiment overshadowed the positive outlook.
• A warning about the risk of further market correction and increased recession probability has likely contributed to the bearish trend in the NDX index.
• Despite the positive outlook on growth stocks and ETFs like Invesco QQQ Trust, the broader market sentiment and economic concerns seem to have outweighed the potential benefits, leading to the bearish movement in the NDX index.

07.03.2025 - NDX Index was up 7.8%

• The Nasdaq-100 index showed strong bullish movement despite recent concerns about trade wars and tariffs impacting the tech industry.
• Powell's cautious stance on rates and the potential impact of tariffs on inflation initially led to market uncertainty.
• Positive sentiment towards innovative technology companies likely contributed to the bullish movement.
• The market may have also reacted favorably to the recommendation to invest in the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF, which follows the Nasdaq-100 index and has a history of outperforming the S&P 500.