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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. ($JEF) Stock Forecast: Down 5.1% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is Jefferies Financial Group Inc.?

Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE: JEF) is a global investment banking firm offering financial services to corporations, institutions, and governments. The company provides a variety of products and services in investment banking, equities, fixed income, and wealth management.

Why is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. going down?

JEF stock is down 5.1% on Mar 28, 2025 17:59

  • Today's bearish movement in JEF stock is linked to the company's first-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings falling short of estimates, particularly due to weak performance in equity underwriting and fixed income markets.
  • While the initial decrease in JEF's short percent of float may have suggested some positive sentiment, the underwhelming earnings report likely dampened any temporary optimism.
  • Investors appeared to have a negative response to the news of subpar financial performance, resulting in a sell-off of JEF shares in the current trading session.
  • Concerns surrounding Jefferies Financial Group's investment banking and capital markets performance seem to be affecting the overall market sentiment, contributing to the bearish movement in its stock price.

JEF Price Chart

JEF Technical Analysis

JEF News

What's Driving the Market Sentiment Around Jefferies Financial Gr? - Jefferies Financial Gr ( NYSE:JEF )

Jefferies Financial Gr's JEF short percent of float has fallen 19.5% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 2.22 million shares sold short, which is 1.28% of all regular shares that are available for trading.

https://www.benzinga.com/insights/short-sellers/25/03/44540069/whats-driving-the-market-sentiment-around-jefferies-financial-gr

0 News Article Image What's Driving the Market Sentiment Around Jefferies Financial Gr? - Jefferies Financial Gr  ( NYSE:JEF )

JEF Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates on Weak IB & Capital Markets, Stock Down

Jefferies' first-quarter fiscal 2025 results miss estimates due to weak equity underwriting and fixed income performance, partially offset by lower expenses.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2436108/jef-q1-earnings-lag-estimates-on-weak-ib-capital-markets-stock-down

1 Missing News Article Image JEF Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates on Weak IB & Capital Markets, Stock Down

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Price History

27.02.2025 - JEF Stock was down 12.5%

  • Jefferies' Q1 earnings falling short of estimates due to weak performance in investment banking and capital markets sectors likely contributed to the bearish movement in the stock.
  • The underperformance in equity underwriting and fixed income segments could have raised concerns among investors, leading to a sell-off of JEF shares.
  • The offset by lower expenses was not sufficient to outweigh the negative impact of the weak IB and capital markets performance, resulting in a significant decline in the stock price.
  • Investors may have reacted negatively to the earnings report, anticipating challenges for Jefferies in the current market environment, thus driving the bearish movement in the stock.

03.10.2023 - JEF Stock was up 5.5%

  • Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) was upgraded to "Hold" by StockNews.com, which may have contributed to the bullish movement.
  • The possibility of a decline in India's stock market if BJP loses the 2024 elections, as mentioned in an article from Global Business Line, does not seem to have a direct impact on JEF's bullish movement.
  • Overall, the upgrade by StockNews.com could be a significant factor in the bullish movement of JEF today.

28.02.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.1%

  • Today's bearish movement in JEF stock is linked to the company's first-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings falling short of estimates, particularly due to weak performance in equity underwriting and fixed income markets.
  • While the initial decrease in JEF's short percent of float may have suggested some positive sentiment, the underwhelming earnings report likely dampened any temporary optimism.
  • Investors appeared to have a negative response to the news of subpar financial performance, resulting in a sell-off of JEF shares in the current trading session.
  • Concerns surrounding Jefferies Financial Group's investment banking and capital markets performance seem to be affecting the overall market sentiment, contributing to the bearish movement in its stock price.

27.05.2023 - JEF Stock was down 2.3%

  • JEF had a strong bearish movement today.
  • The company's own shares were bought back through Jefferies, which could have affected the stock price negatively.
  • The decline in overall investor sentiment and the drop in the Nasdaq could have also contributed to JEF's bearish movement.
  • The upcoming Q2 earnings announcement may also be a factor in the stock's decline.

18.09.2023 - JEF Stock was down 5.0%

  • Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) was downgraded to a "Hold" rating by StockNews.com, which may have contributed to the bearish movement.
  • The acquisition of Jefferies Financial Group shares by AEGON ASSET MANAGEMENT UK Plc could have indicated a lack of confidence in the company, leading to the bearish movement.
  • The appointment of Geoffrey Belsher as the new CEO of Barclays Canada may have diverted investor attention away from Jefferies Financial Group, impacting its stock performance.
  • The news of Virtu Financial LLC acquiring shares of Fair Isaac Co. (FICO) could have influenced market sentiment, indirectly affecting JEF's bearish movement.

28.02.2024 - JEF Stock was down 2.4%

  • The market's response to the mixed results, with higher net revenue but lower earnings per share, might have triggered uncertainty among investors.
  • An upgrade from a "hold" to a "buy" rating could have initially lifted the stock, but profit-taking or a shift in market sentiment may have contributed to the downward movement.
  • Despite the positive earnings report, external factors or overall market conditions could have influenced the stock's decline, especially as the broader market rally extended for a fifth consecutive month, potentially prompting profit-taking in JEF.

28.05.2023 - JEF Stock was up 3.5%

  • The bullish movement in JEF today can be attributed to the following factors:
  • 1. Weak Q2 earnings: Despite reporting weak earnings and revenues that missed estimates, the market may have reacted positively due to the fact that the results were in line with expectations. This could have alleviated concerns of a more significant downturn.
  • 2. Boost in buybacks: Jefferies Financial Group announced a boost in buybacks to $250 million. This move indicates that the company has confidence in its own stock and may have instilled optimism among investors.
  • 3. Dividend declaration: Jefferies Financial Group declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, in line with previous dividends. This dividend announcement may have attracted income-seeking investors and contributed to the bullish movement.
  • 4. Subdued dealmaking: Despite reporting a decline in profit due to subdued dealmaking, the market may have already priced in this factor and focused more on the company's other positive aspects, such as the buyback announcement and dividend declaration.
  • Overall, despite the weak Q2 earnings, the boost in buybacks, dividend declaration, and the market's reaction to the subdued dealmaking contributed to the bullish movement in JEF today.

27.05.2024 - JEF Stock was up 6.7%

  • JEF reported strong Q2 2024 financial results, beating revenue expectations despite a slight miss on EPS estimates. This positive performance likely boosted investor confidence in the company's growth prospects.
  • Analysts are bullish on turnaround stocks, which could have contributed to increased interest in JEF as a potential investment opportunity.
  • Spectaire (SPEC) stock surged 105% after announcing new agreements, including a settlement agreement with Jefferies LLC. The positive sentiment surrounding SPEC might have spilled over to JEF, driving its bullish movement as well.
  • Overall, the combination of JEF's solid financial results, positive analyst sentiment on turnaround stocks, and the upbeat market reaction to SPEC's news likely fueled the strong bullish movement in JEF today.

01.07.2024 - JEF Stock was down 3.2%

  • Jefferies is making strategic moves to expand its presence and operations, such as considering launching a brokerage business in Brazil and completing the sale of OpNet operations.
  • The market might have reacted bearishly due to uncertainties surrounding these strategic decisions and potential impacts on the company's financial performance in the short term.
  • Investors may have perceived the share buyback program with Inchcape and the plans for more hiring and brokerage opening in Brazil as potential risks or uncertainties, leading to a sell-off of JEF stock.
  • Overall, the market movement could be a result of investors reevaluating Jefferies' growth strategies and the potential implications of these recent developments on the company's financial outlook.

04.02.2025 - JEF Stock was down 9.7%

  • Despite significant insider purchases by top executives like BRIAN FRIEDMAN and RICHARD HANDLER, the market reacted bearishly to Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) stock.
  • Insider buying usually signals confidence in the company's future prospects, but in this case, it seems that external market factors might have overshadowed the positive sentiment.
  • The bearish movement could be attributed to broader market conditions, sector-specific challenges, or macroeconomic uncertainties impacting investor sentiment towards financial stocks like JEF.
  • While insider buying is typically viewed as a bullish indicator, it appears that other prevailing market forces have outweighed the positive impact of these insider transactions on Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s stock performance today.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.