Jefferies Financial Group Inc. ($JEF) Stock Forecast: Down 7.0% Today

What is Jefferies Financial Group Inc.?

Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE: JEF) is a global investment banking firm providing a range of financial services to corporations, institutional investors, and government clients. Today, JEF experienced a strong bearish movement in the stock market.

Why is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. going down?

JEF stock is down 7.0% on Feb 12, 2026 17:47

• Jefferies Financial Group's stock (JEF) took a hit today possibly due to profit-taking after recent positive news and developments.
• The deepening alliance with Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and the positive forecast for EQB might have shifted investor focus away from JEF temporarily.
• Despite the reaffirmation of buy ratings for other companies like Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), JEF faced selling pressure, potentially due to a lack of immediate positive catalysts.
• The nomination of Yoshihiro Hyakutome to JEF's Board of Directors and the outlined 2025 performance may not have been enough to sustain the bullish momentum in the stock today.

JEF Price Chart

JEF Technical Analysis

JEF News

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (NYSE:BUD) Receives Buy Rating from Jefferies Financial Group

Jefferies Financial Group has reaffirmed its "buy" rating for Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), aligning with other major financial institutions. The company reported strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations, and its stock has shown significant movement, trading near its 12-month high. Institutional investors have also increased their stakes in the brewing giant.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/anheuser-busch-inbev-sanv-nysebud-receives-buy-rating-from-jefferies-financial-group-2026-02-12/

Jefferies Deepens SMBC Alliance As Valuation And Dividend Cover Diverge

Jefferies Financial Group is deepening its alliance with Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, nominating Yoshihiro Hyakutome to its Board and planning a Japan equities joint venture by January 2027. SMBC also intends to increase its economic stake in Jefferies, pending regulatory approval. This collaboration aims to enhance Jefferies' access to Japanese client flows and deal activity, though investors should note the company's dividend is currently not well covered by free cash flows.

https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-jef/jefferies-financial-group/news/jefferies-deepens-smbc-alliance-as-valuation-and-dividend-co

Jefferies (NYSE: JEF) outlines 2025 performance, SMBC alliance and key 2026 proxy votes

Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE: JEF) is asking shareholders to approve several key items at its 2026 annual meeting, including the election of directors, advisory approval of 2025 executive pay, and ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditor. The company's proxy statement highlights its 2025 financial performance with $7.34 billion in net revenues and details an expanded strategic alliance with SMBC Group, which includes a planned Japan equities joint venture and SMBC potentially increasing its ownership in Jefferies up to 20%. The proxy also nominates SMBC executive Yoshihiro Hyakutome to join Jefferies' board of directors.

https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/JEF/pre-14a-jefferies-financial-group-inc-preliminary-proxy-statement-f40854e3aec3.html

SMBC Group’s Yoshihiro Hyakutome Nominated to Jefferies Board of Directors As Focus Intensifies on Global Strategic Alliance – News Hub

Yoshihiro Hyakutome of SMBC Group has been nominated to join Jefferies' Board of Directors, replacing Toru Nakashima, as the global strategic alliance between the two firms intensifies. This nomination comes as the firms prepare for a Japan equities joint venture and SMBC Group plans to increase its economic ownership in Jefferies to up to 20%. The move aims to further strengthen the partnership and expand their global financial capabilities.

https://newshub.medianet.com.au/2026/02/smbc-groups-yoshihiro-hyakutome-nominated-to-jefferies-board-of-directors-as-focus-intensifies-on-global-strategic-alliance/139648/

Jefferies Financial Group Issues Positive Forecast for EQB (TSE:EQB) Stock Price

Jefferies Financial Group increased its price target for EQB (TSE:EQB) from C$97.00 to C$109.00, though this still implies a 5.6% downside from the current price. The average analyst rating for EQB remains "Hold" with an average target price of C$108.89. EQB's stock recently fell 2.2% to C$115.44, with a market capitalization of C$4.31 billion.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/jefferies-financial-group-issues-positive-forecast-for-eqb-tseeqb-stock-price-2026-02-11/

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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Price History

13.10.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.6%

• Despite Circle (CRCL) surpassing Q3 earnings and revenue expectations, JEF faced a decline in its stock value.
• The drop in JEF's stock price might be connected to investor worries within the financial services field, which are overshadowing the positive outcomes of companies like Circle.
• This market shift indicates that investors may be responding to broader industry patterns and probable economic uncertainties rather than individual company performance.

09.09.2025 - JEF Stock was down 8.0%

• JEF stock faced significant downward pressure following the disclosure of its ties to bankrupt First Brands Group, raising concerns among investors regarding potential financial ramifications and risks associated with trade-finance and CLO connections.
• Despite surpassing Q3 earnings expectations and showcasing strong profits from its investment banking sector, JEF stock declined due to heightened expenses, prompting investors to reassess the company's financial stability and overall profitability.
• The revelation of exposure to a bankrupt entity, coupled with escalating expenses, likely contributed to the pessimistic market sentiment surrounding JEF stock, overshadowing the positive earnings outperformance and robust investment banking income.

12.01.2026 - JEF Stock was down 7.0%

• Jefferies Financial Group's stock (JEF) took a hit today possibly due to profit-taking after recent positive news and developments.
• The deepening alliance with Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and the positive forecast for EQB might have shifted investor focus away from JEF temporarily.
• Despite the reaffirmation of buy ratings for other companies like Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), JEF faced selling pressure, potentially due to a lack of immediate positive catalysts.
• The nomination of Yoshihiro Hyakutome to JEF's Board of Directors and the outlined 2025 performance may not have been enough to sustain the bullish momentum in the stock today.

12.01.2026 - JEF Stock was down 5.1%

• Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) saw a 3.01% decline in its stock price on February 11th, closing at $58.28, reflecting a bearish trend in the market.
• The bearish movement could be attributed to the stress faced by the first-ever investment-grade rated Bitcoin-backed bond sale orchestrated by JEF, which experienced significant challenges due to a 27% decline in Bitcoin's price, leading to automated liquidations and dilution of expected yields.
• Despite Truist Financial Corp decreasing its stake in JEF by 81% in Q3, JEF reported strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations. However, this positive performance might have been overshadowed by the market stress caused by the Bitcoin-backed bond sale.
• The downward movement in JEF's stock price could also be influenced by the discrepancy between Wall Street analysts' average target price of $78.00, implying an upside of 33.84%, and GuruFocus's estimate of a downside of 15.15% from the current price, creating uncertainty among investors.

08.00.2026 - JEF Stock was down 6.3%

• Jefferies Financial Group reported mixed Q4 financial results, with revenue exceeding expectations but earnings missing analyst estimates. This discrepancy, particularly the weakness in fixed income and asset management, led to investor disappointment and a 2.9% drop in after-hours trading.
• Despite beating estimates on adjusted earnings per share, the decrease in Q4 profit compared to the previous year, along with a lower GAAP net income, likely contributed to the bearish movement.
• The accusations by First Brands Group founder against Jefferies, alleging document withholding, could have added uncertainty and negative sentiment around the stock, impacting its performance.
• The increase in price target for Morgan Stanley by Jefferies Financial Group, following Morgan Stanley's strong quarterly earnings, might have diverted investor attention and capital away from Jefferies, influencing the bearish movement.

16.09.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.8%

• An investigation into potential securities fraud at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. may have raised concerns among investors, leading to a sell-off of the stock.
• The revelation of exposure to bankrupt First Brands Group likely contributed to the negative sentiment surrounding Jefferies, causing investors to reevaluate the associated risks and financial implications.
• The combination of the ongoing securities fraud investigation and the exposure to a bankrupt company could have eroded investor confidence in Jefferies Financial Group Inc., resulting in the significant bearish movement in the stock price today.

17.09.2025 - JEF Stock was up 6.3%

• The bullish movement in JEF stock could be attributed to indications that its fund connected to First Brands is separate from its investment banking business, potentially reassuring investors and boosting confidence in the company's diversified operations.
• Despite the ongoing securities fraud investigation, investors seem to be focusing more on the positive news regarding the separation of business units, leading to the stock's upward movement.
• This shows that investors are weighing the potential outcomes of the investigation against the company's overall business structure and are currently placing more emphasis on the latter, driving the stock price higher.

18.10.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.3%

• A recent reduction in short interest for Jefferies Financial Group Inc could suggest a decrease in bearish sentiment among investors. However, this did not prevent the stock from experiencing a significant downward movement.
• Although Circle (CRCL) surpassed Q3 earnings and revenue expectations, apprehensions among investors led to a drop in its stock price, potentially influencing overall market sentiment, including impacting JEF negatively.
• The prevailing pessimistic outlook on financial services firms, coupled with specific issues surrounding Circle, likely played a role in the bearish movement observed in Jefferies Financial Group Inc's stock today.

29.09.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.5%

• Market whales have taken a bearish stance on JEF options, indicating a lack of confidence in the stock's future performance.
• The significant number of bearish trades on JEF options could be driving down the stock price as investors react to the negative sentiment.
• This bearish movement in JEF may be a result of large investors anticipating challenges or underperformance in the company's financials or market position.
• Investors should closely monitor any further developments in JEF options trading and overall market sentiment to gauge the stock's future trajectory.

11.11.2025 - JEF Stock was up 5.1%

• JEF stock surged by 5.9% after announcing new debt offerings and a deal to acquire a 50% stake in Hildene for $340 million, addressing investor concerns and boosting confidence in the company's strategic moves.
• The stock price fell previously due to a situation involving an auto supplier, First Brands, filing for bankruptcy amid accounting questions, leading to investigations into potential securities fraud or unlawful practices.
• Despite these challenges, institutional investors like Federated Hermes Inc. significantly increased their stake in JEF, indicating confidence in the company's long-term prospects.
• Jefferies' acquisition of Hildene Holding Company, a credit-focused asset manager, is expected to be accretive and contribute positively to its net earnings, further enhancing investor sentiment and driving the bullish movement in the stock price.

03.01.2026 - JEF Stock was down 6.7%

• The decline in Jefferies Financial Group's stock value is possibly linked to the prevailing pessimism towards the financial sector in the market.
• Jefferies Financial Group's decision to lower price estimates for companies including Sprout Social, Walt Disney, and Tenable could have impacted investor trust in the company's own stock.
• Although there are positive prospects for Tyra Biosciences and StoneX Group, the general market conditions and reduced price targets for other firms might have overshadowed any potential gains for Jefferies Financial Group.
• Furthermore, the insider trading activities in Sprout Social and the insider stock transactions in Tyra Biosciences and Tenable are other factors contributing to the mixed sentiments surrounding Jefferies Financial Group's stock.

03.01.2026 - JEF Stock was down 5.1%

• The stock's decline may be due to profit-taking by investors following a period of strong performance.
• A lowered price target for Tenable by JEF could have influenced the stock's decline, reflecting a cautious stance on the cybersecurity industry.
• Despite a positive outlook on Hershey's stock, investors may be shifting funds from JEF to pursue opportunities with quicker growth potential.
• An increase in institutional ownership and promising quarterly results from JEF suggest a possible short-term price drop, offering a buying opportunity for long-term investors.