Jefferies Financial Group Inc. ($JEF) Stock Forecast: Down 6.3% Today

What is Jefferies Financial Group Inc.?

Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE: JEF) is a financial services company that operates in investment banking, equities, fixed income, and asset management sectors. Today, the stock experienced a strong bearish movement.

Why is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. going down?

JEF stock is down 6.3% on Jan 8, 2026 14:41

• Jefferies Financial Group reported mixed Q4 financial results, with revenue exceeding expectations but earnings missing analyst estimates. This discrepancy, particularly the weakness in fixed income and asset management, led to investor disappointment and a 2.9% drop in after-hours trading.
• Despite beating estimates on adjusted earnings per share, the decrease in Q4 profit compared to the previous year, along with a lower GAAP net income, likely contributed to the bearish movement.
• The accusations by First Brands Group founder against Jefferies, alleging document withholding, could have added uncertainty and negative sentiment around the stock, impacting its performance.
• The increase in price target for Morgan Stanley by Jefferies Financial Group, following Morgan Stanley's strong quarterly earnings, might have diverted investor attention and capital away from Jefferies, influencing the bearish movement.

JEF Price Chart

JEF Technical Analysis

JEF News

Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE:JEF) Posts Q4 Revenue Beat but Earnings Miss, Stock Falls

Jefferies Financial Group (NYSE:JEF) reported mixed Q4 financial results, with revenue of $2.07 billion exceeding expectations but diluted earnings per share of $0.87 missing analyst estimates. This led to a 2.9% drop in after-hours trading. Despite strong performance in investment banking and equities, weakness in fixed income and a notable loss in asset management contributed to the earnings miss, causing investor disappointment.

https://www.chartmill.com/news/JEF/Chartmill-39720-Jefferies-Financial-Group-NYSEJEF-Posts-Q4-Revenue-Beat-but-Earnings-Miss-Stock-Falls

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Q4 Profit Decreases, But Beats Estimates

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) reported a decrease in Q4 profit compared to the previous year, but managed to beat analysts' estimates. The company's adjusted earnings per share were $0.96, surpassing the expected $0.94, and its revenue increased by 5.7% to $2.069 billion. Despite a GAAP net income of $190.89 million ($0.87 per share) which was lower than last year's $205.75 million ($0.91 per share), the results indicate a stronger performance than anticipated by the market.

https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/jefferies-financial-group-inc-q4-profit-decreases-beats-estimates

First Brands Founder Accuses Jefferies of Withholding Documents

Patrick James, founder of First Brands Group, claims that Jefferies Financial Group is refusing to provide documents that could disprove Jefferies' fraud allegations against him. James has petitioned a New York federal judge to compel Jefferies to release internal communications and due diligence records related to the firm's $715 million investment in First Brands' receivables. This comes after First Brands Group filed for bankruptcy in September, naming Jefferies as a significant creditor.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-07/first-brands-founder-accuses-jefferies-of-withholding-documents

Jefferies Financial Group Raises Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Price Target to $212.00

Jefferies Financial Group increased its price target for Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) to $212 from $186, maintaining a "buy" rating with a potential upside of 13.68%. This adjustment follows Morgan Stanley's strong quarterly earnings, which surpassed expectations with EPS of $2.80 and revenue of $17.98 billion, representing an 18.5% year-over-year increase. The consensus among analysts for Morgan Stanley is a "Moderate Buy" with an average target price of $180.46.

https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/jefferies-financial-group-raises-morgan-stanley-nysems-price-target-to-21200-2026-01-06/

Exploring Jefferies Financial Gr's Earnings Expectations

Jefferies Financial Gr (NYSE: JEF) is scheduled to release its quarterly earnings report on 2026-01-07, with analysts expecting an EPS of $0.90. The company has a history of beating EPS estimates, though its stock performance has seen a nearly 20% decline over the last 52 weeks. Analysts maintain an "Outperform" consensus for JEF, with a potential 19.13% upside, compared to its peers Houlihan Lokey, XP, and Moelis.

https://www.benzinga.com/insights/earnings/26/01/49721910/exploring-jefferies-financial-grs-earnings-expectations

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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Price History

13.10.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.6%

• Despite Circle (CRCL) surpassing Q3 earnings and revenue expectations, JEF faced a decline in its stock value.
• The drop in JEF's stock price might be connected to investor worries within the financial services field, which are overshadowing the positive outcomes of companies like Circle.
• This market shift indicates that investors may be responding to broader industry patterns and probable economic uncertainties rather than individual company performance.

18.08.2025 - JEF Stock was up 5.7%

• JEF stock showed a notable upsurge, rising by 1.45% in the recent trading session.
• The favorable price movement may be linked to the company's robust financial performance, evident from the stock price increases observed over the last month and year.
• Investor optimism regarding Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s future outlook likely contributed to the positive trend.
• Overall, today's bullish market activity for JEF signifies optimistic sentiment and growth potential for the company.

09.09.2025 - JEF Stock was down 8.0%

• JEF stock faced significant downward pressure following the disclosure of its ties to bankrupt First Brands Group, raising concerns among investors regarding potential financial ramifications and risks associated with trade-finance and CLO connections.
• Despite surpassing Q3 earnings expectations and showcasing strong profits from its investment banking sector, JEF stock declined due to heightened expenses, prompting investors to reassess the company's financial stability and overall profitability.
• The revelation of exposure to a bankrupt entity, coupled with escalating expenses, likely contributed to the pessimistic market sentiment surrounding JEF stock, overshadowing the positive earnings outperformance and robust investment banking income.

08.00.2026 - JEF Stock was down 6.3%

• Jefferies Financial Group reported mixed Q4 financial results, with revenue exceeding expectations but earnings missing analyst estimates. This discrepancy, particularly the weakness in fixed income and asset management, led to investor disappointment and a 2.9% drop in after-hours trading.
• Despite beating estimates on adjusted earnings per share, the decrease in Q4 profit compared to the previous year, along with a lower GAAP net income, likely contributed to the bearish movement.
• The accusations by First Brands Group founder against Jefferies, alleging document withholding, could have added uncertainty and negative sentiment around the stock, impacting its performance.
• The increase in price target for Morgan Stanley by Jefferies Financial Group, following Morgan Stanley's strong quarterly earnings, might have diverted investor attention and capital away from Jefferies, influencing the bearish movement.

08.09.2025 - JEF Stock was down 6.8%

• The company surpassed Q3 earnings expectations with earnings per share of $1.05, attributed to robust performance in investment banking and asset management.
• Despite the positive earnings results, the stock declined by 3.6% due to concerns over increasing expenses.
• Investor reaction indicates that there were potentially higher expectations for performance or lower expenses, influencing the bearish movement in JEF stock.
• This response reflects investor emphasis on cost control and the overall financial stability of the company, overshadowing the strong earnings performance.

16.09.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.8%

• An investigation into potential securities fraud at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. may have raised concerns among investors, leading to a sell-off of the stock.
• The revelation of exposure to bankrupt First Brands Group likely contributed to the negative sentiment surrounding Jefferies, causing investors to reevaluate the associated risks and financial implications.
• The combination of the ongoing securities fraud investigation and the exposure to a bankrupt company could have eroded investor confidence in Jefferies Financial Group Inc., resulting in the significant bearish movement in the stock price today.

17.09.2025 - JEF Stock was up 6.3%

• The bullish movement in JEF stock could be attributed to indications that its fund connected to First Brands is separate from its investment banking business, potentially reassuring investors and boosting confidence in the company's diversified operations.
• Despite the ongoing securities fraud investigation, investors seem to be focusing more on the positive news regarding the separation of business units, leading to the stock's upward movement.
• This shows that investors are weighing the potential outcomes of the investigation against the company's overall business structure and are currently placing more emphasis on the latter, driving the stock price higher.

18.10.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.3%

• A recent reduction in short interest for Jefferies Financial Group Inc could suggest a decrease in bearish sentiment among investors. However, this did not prevent the stock from experiencing a significant downward movement.
• Although Circle (CRCL) surpassed Q3 earnings and revenue expectations, apprehensions among investors led to a drop in its stock price, potentially influencing overall market sentiment, including impacting JEF negatively.
• The prevailing pessimistic outlook on financial services firms, coupled with specific issues surrounding Circle, likely played a role in the bearish movement observed in Jefferies Financial Group Inc's stock today.

29.09.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.5%

• Market whales have taken a bearish stance on JEF options, indicating a lack of confidence in the stock's future performance.
• The significant number of bearish trades on JEF options could be driving down the stock price as investors react to the negative sentiment.
• This bearish movement in JEF may be a result of large investors anticipating challenges or underperformance in the company's financials or market position.
• Investors should closely monitor any further developments in JEF options trading and overall market sentiment to gauge the stock's future trajectory.

30.08.2025 - JEF Stock was down 2.8%

• Analysts had revised their forecasts ahead of Jefferies Financial's earnings call, expecting an increase in quarterly earnings per share.
• Despite the positive earnings expectations, the market may have reacted negatively to other underlying factors such as economic indicators or industry trends.
• The bearish movement could indicate that investors were disappointed with the actual earnings results, which might have fallen short of the revised forecasts.
• It is possible that market sentiment towards financial stocks, in general, influenced the bearish movement of JEF, as investors may have shifted their focus to other sectors.

25.08.2025 - JEF Stock was down 5.9%

• JEF stock saw a bearish movement despite Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) increasing its stake and strengthening their partnership.
• The golden cross signal, signaling a bullish trend, may have caused investor uncertainty, resulting in mixed sentiments and potential profit-taking in JEF stock.
• Market fluctuations might be due to traders taking profits, leading to a short-term bearish trend after anticipating a larger price increase from the positive development.
• Investors are likely reassessing their positions in JEF stock, analyzing recent positive news and technical signals to make well-informed decisions in the current market climate.

11.11.2025 - JEF Stock was up 5.1%

• JEF stock surged by 5.9% after announcing new debt offerings and a deal to acquire a 50% stake in Hildene for $340 million, addressing investor concerns and boosting confidence in the company's strategic moves.
• The stock price fell previously due to a situation involving an auto supplier, First Brands, filing for bankruptcy amid accounting questions, leading to investigations into potential securities fraud or unlawful practices.
• Despite these challenges, institutional investors like Federated Hermes Inc. significantly increased their stake in JEF, indicating confidence in the company's long-term prospects.
• Jefferies' acquisition of Hildene Holding Company, a credit-focused asset manager, is expected to be accretive and contribute positively to its net earnings, further enhancing investor sentiment and driving the bullish movement in the stock price.