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United Parcel Service Inc. ($UPS) Stock Forecast: Down 14.2% Today

Morpher AI identified a bearish signal. The stock price may continue to fall based on the momentum of the negative news.

What is United Parcel Service Inc.?

UPS (United Parcel Service) is a global package delivery company known for its logistics services. The stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker symbol UPS.

Why is United Parcel Service Inc. going down?

UPS stock is down 14.2% on Jan 30, 2025 20:51

  • Today's bearish movement in UPS stock can be attributed to a combination of factors:
  • Weak guidance and plans to slash Amazon deliveries by more than half have raised concerns among investors about the company's future profitability.
  • Despite beating earnings expectations in Q4, the lackluster revenue view for 2025 has dampened investor sentiment.
  • The bearish stance taken by institutional investors or high-net-worth individuals, as indicated by publicly available options history, may have added selling pressure on the stock.
  • Overall market sentiment, with other big stocks like Microsoft moving lower in the pre-market session, could have contributed to the downward pressure on UPS shares.

UPS Price Chart

UPS Technical Analysis

UPS News

UPS shares tank 17% after weak guidance, plan to slash Amazon deliveries by more than half

UPS has shifted away from less profitable large contracts in recent years, while Amazon has built up its own in-house logistics empire.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/30/ups-shares-tank-after-weak-guidance-plan-to-slash-amazon-deliveries.html

0 News Article Image UPS shares tank 17% after weak guidance, plan to slash Amazon deliveries by more than half

UPS Beats on Q4 Earnings, Stock Down on Lackluster 2025 Revenue View

U.S. Domestic Package revenues increase 2.2% year over year at United Parcel in the fourth quarter.

https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2406884/ups-beats-on-q4-earnings-stock-down-on-lackluster-2025-revenue-view

1 Missing News Article Image UPS Beats on Q4 Earnings, Stock Down on Lackluster 2025 Revenue View

Check Out What Whales Are Doing With UPS - United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS )

Investors with a lot of money to spend have taken a bearish stance on United Parcel Service UPS. We noticed this today when the trades showed up on publicly available options history that we track here at Benzinga. Whether these are institutions or just wealthy individuals, we don't know.

https://www.benzinga.com/insights/options/25/01/43341015/check-out-what-whales-are-doing-with-ups

2 News Article Image Check Out What Whales Are Doing With UPS - United Parcel Service  ( NYSE:UPS )

UPS, Whirlpool, Microsoft And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Thursday's Pre-Market Session - Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) , Cigna ( NYSE:CI )

U.S. stock futures were mixed this morning, with the Nasdaq futures gaining around 50 points on Thursday. Shares of United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS fell sharply in today's pre-market trading after the company missed fourth-quarter revenue expectations despite beating EPS estimates.

https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/43335345/ups-whirlpool-microsoft-and-other-big-stocks-moving-lower-in-thursdays-pre-market-session

3 News Article Image UPS, Whirlpool, Microsoft And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Thursday's Pre-Market Session - Microsoft  ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) , Cigna  ( NYSE:CI )

UPS Q4 Earnings: Major Customer Volume Cut Raises Jitters, Stock Tanks - United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS )

UPS reported Q4 revenue of $25.301 billion, missing estimates, while adjusted EPS of $2.75 exceeded expectations. UPS announced a major restructuring, including volume cuts, network changes, and a $1 billion efficiency initiative. Get Wall Street's Hottest Chart Every Morning

https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/01/43335015/ups-q4-earnings-major-customer-volume-cut-raises-jitters-stock-tanks

4 News Article Image UPS Q4 Earnings: Major Customer Volume Cut Raises Jitters, Stock Tanks - United Parcel Service  ( NYSE:UPS )

United Parcel Service Inc. Price History

24.09.2024 - UPS Stock was up 9.5%

  • UPS broke its revenue-miss streak after 10 quarters, reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results, which led to a surge in its stock price.
  • The company beat Q3 earnings estimates, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance.
  • Despite the positive news, there is a pending class action lawsuit reminding investors of potential legal risks, which could create some uncertainty in the market.
  • The bearish options activity by some investors contrasts with the overall bullish sentiment, suggesting a divergence in market expectations for UPS.

24.09.2024 - UPS Stock was up 5.1%

  • UPS stock soared after the company reported better-than-expected third-quarter results, including a 5.6% year-over-year revenue growth to $22.2 billion, surpassing market expectations.
  • The upbeat quarterly earnings and revenue figures contributed to the positive market sentiment towards UPS, leading to a significant increase in the stock price.
  • Investor confidence in UPS was further boosted by the company beating Q3 earnings estimates, indicating a solid performance and potential growth prospects.
  • The pending class action lawsuit reminder by legal firm may have caused some concerns among investors, but the overall positive financial results overshadowed these legal uncertainties, driving UPS stock higher.

30.00.2025 - UPS Stock was down 14.2%

  • Today's bearish movement in UPS stock can be attributed to a combination of factors:
  • Weak guidance and plans to slash Amazon deliveries by more than half have raised concerns among investors about the company's future profitability.
  • Despite beating earnings expectations in Q4, the lackluster revenue view for 2025 has dampened investor sentiment.
  • The bearish stance taken by institutional investors or high-net-worth individuals, as indicated by publicly available options history, may have added selling pressure on the stock.
  • Overall market sentiment, with other big stocks like Microsoft moving lower in the pre-market session, could have contributed to the downward pressure on UPS shares.

30.00.2025 - UPS Stock was down 16.4%

  • UPS shares saw a 17% decrease following weak guidance and a decision to reduce Amazon deliveries by more than half, suggesting a shift away from less profitable contracts.
  • Investors with substantial capital exhibited a bearish outlook, evident from available options history, adding to the negative momentum on UPS stock.
  • Despite surpassing EPS estimates, UPS fell short of fourth-quarter revenue projections, leading to a significant drop in stock value before the market opened.
  • Concerns arose among investors and led to a sharp decline in the stock price after UPS announced a major restructuring plan involving volume cuts, network adjustments, and a $1 billion efficiency initiative.

30.00.2025 - UPS Stock was down 15.9%

  • UPS stock fell sharply in today's trading session after missing fourth-quarter revenue expectations, despite beating EPS estimates. This discrepancy between revenue and earnings likely raised concerns among investors, leading to the bearish movement.
  • The announcement of a major restructuring by UPS, including volume cuts and network changes, might have raised uncertainties about the company's future growth prospects, contributing to the negative market sentiment.
  • The news of Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene purchasing UPS stock could have added some positive momentum, but it was overshadowed by the broader market reaction to UPS's financial performance and restructuring plans.

26.02.2024 - UPS Stock was down 8.5%

  • The bearish movement in UPS stock today may be explained by several factors:
  • UPS stock experienced a decline in response to short-term challenges, influenced by the S&P 500 closing in negative territory and a slowdown in the earlier market rally.
  • CFRA's Stewart Glickman highlighted concerns about volume growth, which contributed to the stock's decrease.
  • Investor worries may have been sparked by UPS CEO Carol Tom's remarks indicating a shift towards automation, potentially signaling concerns about disruptions and related costs.
  • Despite UPS surpassing revenue projections, prevailing challenges and uncertainties likely outweighed positive news, resulting in the stock's bearish performance.

27.02.2024 - UPS Stock was down 8.5%

  • UPS stock saw a sharp decline as the S&P 500 closed lower, with UPS emerging as the top decliner, suggesting specific hurdles for the company.
  • Observers have noted UPS's struggle with volume growth as a possible factor behind its weak stock performance.
  • Comments by UPS CEO Carol Tom about a shift towards automation might have sparked investor worries about costs and operational adjustments impacting the company's short-term profitability.
  • Recent developments, such as Canoo acquiring assets from a bankrupt electric vehicle competitor, and the subsequent negative market reaction to GOEV stock, likely contributed to the prevailing bearish sentiment, potentially impacting UPS as well.

23.06.2024 - UPS Stock was down 13.5%

  • UPS reported lower-than-expected Q2 earnings, falling short of both estimates, leading to a bearish movement in the stock.
  • The sluggish freight demand highlighted in the earnings report likely contributed to the disappointing results, indicating potential challenges in the company's core business operations.
  • The technical analysis mentioning support and resistance levels could have influenced traders to sell off UPS shares, exacerbating the stock's downward spiral.
  • With the focus shifting towards upcoming earnings from Big Tech companies, investors may have redirected their attention away from UPS, causing the stock to plummet amidst broader market optimism.

23.06.2024 - UPS Stock was down 12.9%

  • Lower-than-expected earnings per share (EPS) and revenue for the second quarter of 2024 were reported by UPS, missing analyst estimates by a significant margin.
  • UPS saw profits drop over 30% from the previous year, resulting in a sharp decline in its stock price.
  • The disappointing performance could be attributed to a modest decline in revenues and a double-digit decrease in adjusted profits during the quarter.
  • The market reacted negatively to UPS's Q2 earnings report, causing the stock to dive as investors adjusted their expectations based on the company's underwhelming financial results.

23.06.2024 - UPS Stock was down 12.4%

  • UPS stock experienced a strong bearish movement today following the release of its second-quarter financial performance.
  • The company reported a significant drop in profits of over 30% compared to the same quarter last year, missing estimates.
  • UPS also reported a decline in revenue by 1.2% year-on-year, falling short of expectations.
  • The downward trend in UPS stock can be attributed to the disappointing financial results and the company's revised guidance for the year, reflecting ongoing struggles in the shipping demand.

23.06.2024 - UPS Stock was down 13.5%

  • Experienced a strong bearish movement today.
  • The company's earnings call for the second quarter of 2024 might have revealed disappointing results or guidance, leading to investor concerns.
  • Customers trading down to UPS's "economy" service could indicate potential revenue challenges for the company.
  • The negative impact of missing earnings and cutting guidance, as mentioned by CEO Jenny Harrington, likely contributed to the bearish trend in UPS's stock price.

23.06.2024 - UPS Stock was down 13.5%

  • UPS stock dropped by 12.4% due to missing earnings per share and revenue estimates for the second quarter of 2024, indicating a disappointing outcome.
  • The company revised its margin outlook for 2024 to approximately 9.4%, below the initial range of 10%-10.6%, intensifying the negative sentiment towards UPS shares.
  • UPS's underwhelming performance, coupled with anticipated tech earnings from companies like Alphabet and Tesla, influenced a decline in the Dow Jones Transport Average by 1.5%.
  • Despite an uptick in U.S. equities overall, UPS stood out as a major downward mover, underscoring the importance of meeting investor expectations in a fiercely competitive market setting.
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Disclaimer
Morpher is not liable for the content of the AI investment insights. Like most GPT-powered tools, these summaries may contain AI hallucinations and inaccurate information. Morpher is not presenting you with any investment advice. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. These summaries do not constitute investment advice.