Silver ($XAG) Commodity Forecast: Down 5.2% Today

What is Silver?

Silver is a precious metal known for its industrial and investment uses. It is often seen as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty.

Why is Silver going down?

XAG commodity is down 5.2% on Nov 14, 2025 13:41

• The recent bearish movement in the price of silver can be attributed to profit-taking by investors after a significant rally in the past few days.
• Despite approaching all-time highs and showing resilience in the face of global uncertainties, the sharp decline today may indicate a temporary pullback in the market.
• Factors such as the potential for US tariffs on silver, supply concerns, and mixed signals regarding Federal Reserve rate cuts may have contributed to the sudden drop in silver prices.
• Investors should closely monitor developments in the global economy, trade policies, and central bank actions to gauge the future direction of the silver market.

XAG Price Chart

XAG Technical Analysis

XAG News

Silver is down by 7.12%

Silver decreased 7.12% to 49.479 USD/t.oz

Silver Approaches All-Time Highs

Silver climbed more than 1% to above $54 per ounce on Thursday, marching toward an all-time high reached last month and bringing this week’s gains to around 12%, as investors looked to hedge against global uncertainties with precious metals. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, following signs of a weakening US labor market, further supported the metal. Supply concerns also contributed, with India’s wedding season underway and fears of potential US tariffs on silver. Last week, the US Department of Interior added silver, copper, and metallurgical coal to its “critical minerals” list, highlighting their importance to the economy and national security. This designation provides the basis for potential Section 232 investigations and trade restrictions, as previously applied to copper earlier this year.

Silver Prices Rebound

Silver prices rose about 1% to above $51 per ounce on Wednesday, the highest level in nearly three weeks, supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates this year. Optimism over an imminent end to the US government shutdown which would allow the release of fresh economic data, also reinforced those bets. Markets now price in roughly a 65% chance of a 25bps Fed rate cut in December, up from about 62% a day earlier. Meanwhile, supply pressures are expected to persist, with demand likely picking up amid the start of India’s wedding season and US tariffs on the white metal.

Silver Holds at 3-Week High

Silver slipped to around $51 per ounce on Wednesday, but stayed close to three-week highs as signs of US labor market weakness fueled expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut. ADP data showed US private employers shedding an average of 11,250 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 25, painting a bleak picture amid the absence of official data. Markets now price in about a 68% chance of a 25 bps rate cut in December, up from roughly 62% a day earlier. Earlier this week, Fed Governor Stephen Miran also called for a larger half-point reduction amid falling inflation and rising unemployment. Meanwhile, optimism grew that the record-long government shutdown could end soon, with the Republican-controlled

Silver Rallies to 3-Week High

Silver surged more than 5% to around $51 per ounce so far this week, supported by expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut amid signs of US economic weakness. US data last week pointed job losses in October, particularly in government and retail sectors, while consumer sentiment fell to a 3½-year low in early November. Traders are pricing in roughly a 64% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed cut in December, with Fed Governor Stephen Miran advocating a larger half-point reduction amid falling inflation and rising unemployment. Meanwhile, the US Senate passed a bill to reopen the federal government after a 40-day shutdown, potentially reducing safe-haven demand for precious metals. However, the bill still has to clear the US House of Representatives before being sent to President Donald Trump.

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Silver Price History

29.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.1%

• Silver experienced a bullish movement today, reaching around $47.5 per ounce, after a recent period of volatility and losses.
• The market movement can be attributed to several factors:
• Anticipation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, with investors closely watching Chair Jerome Powell's comments for guidance on future easing.
• Ongoing US-China trade negotiations impacting demand for safe-haven assets like silver, with progress in talks leading to a decrease in silver prices earlier in the week.
• Previous concerns of overvaluation following a record-setting rally, leading to profit-taking and subsequent losses in the silver market.
• The upcoming Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea is expected to finalize a framework that could impact trade relations and potentially influence silver prices further.

02.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 3.0%

• Silver had been trading near 14-year highs due to safe-haven demand triggered by political and monetary policy uncertainty in the US.
• The bearish movement today could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after the metal's recent rally to record highs.
• Factors such as the US government shutdown, concerns about economic data delays, and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts may have contributed to the downward pressure on silver prices.
• Additionally, the ongoing supply-demand imbalances and projected deficits in the silver market could have influenced the bearish movement as well.

09.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 1.3%

• Silver prices hit record highs recently, driven by strong safe-haven demand, tight supply, and concerns over US fiscal risks, lower interest rates, and global deficit levels.
• Despite the bullish trend in recent days, today's bearish movement could be attributed to profit-taking by investors after the significant price surge.
• The ongoing US government shutdown, geopolitical uncertainties, and expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may have also contributed to the market correction in silver prices.
• The long-term outlook for silver remains positive, with continued supply deficits projected in the coming years due to strong industrial demand and limited availability in the London market.

09.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 4.3%

• Silver surged above $50 per ounce, hitting record highs, driven by heightened political and economic uncertainties, safe-haven demand, and bets on US rate cuts.
• The prolonged US government shutdown, global uncertainties, and expectations of Fed rate cuts fueled the demand for safe-haven assets like silver.
• Strong industrial demand from sectors like solar and electronics, coupled with a global supply deficit projection, further supported the bullish movement in silver prices.
• Profit-taking and a firmer yield backdrop led to a slight retreat from the multi-year high, showcasing the influence of yield-sensitive capital and market dynamics on silver's price movements.

13.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.3%

• Silver soared to a new all-time high above $51 per ounce due to renewed US-China trade tensions, political instability, and expectations of further US rate cuts, which fueled demand for safe-haven assets.
• The metal's rally was further supported by ongoing geopolitical worries, including the US government shutdown, political turmoil in France, and leadership uncertainty in Japan, which added to the overall demand for silver as a hedge against market volatility.
• Additionally, supply constraints in the London market and expectations of silver demand outpacing supply for the fifth consecutive year in 2025 contributed to the bullish momentum in silver prices.
• The combination of these factors, alongside silver's role in both investment and industrial applications, such as in solar panels and wind turbines, propelled silver to hit record highs and maintain its upward trajectory, outperforming gold and signaling a positive outlook for the precious metal.

14.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 0.5%

• Silver soared to new record highs above $50 per ounce due to a historic short squeeze and liquidity concerns in London, driving traders to scramble for physical supply globally.
• Renewed US-China trade concerns, political instability, and expectations of further US rate cuts fueled demand for safe-haven assets like silver, pushing prices higher.
• Ongoing geopolitical worries, such as the US government shutdown, political turmoil in France, and leadership uncertainty in Japan, added to the metal's rally as investors sought refuge in precious metals.
• The combination of strong safe-haven demand, persistent supply constraints, and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut further supported silver's upward trajectory, with the metal on track for its eighth consecutive weekly gain.

21.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 5.4%

• Prices of silver dropped by around 4-5% from recent peaks as investors opted to take profits after a rapid increase.
• The downward trend was influenced by a more positive risk outlook, shaped by indications of potential progress in US-China trade negotiations and optimism for a resolution.
• Anticipation of a forthcoming Federal Reserve rate reduction alongside robust corporate earnings played a role in the shifting market landscape, pushing investors towards equities.
• The tight liquidity situation in London's silver market and strong consumer demand in India weighed on the supply-demand balance, placing added pressure on silver prices in light of broader market trends.

13.10.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.9%

• Silver prices surged above $54 per ounce, nearing all-time highs, as investors sought refuge in precious metals amidst global uncertainties and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
• Supply concerns, including India's wedding season and fears of potential US tariffs on silver, added to the bullish sentiment.
• The US Department of Interior's designation of silver as a critical mineral further highlighted its importance, potentially leading to trade restrictions.
• Overall, the combination of economic uncertainties, rate cut expectations, and supply pressures propelled silver to its bullish movement today.

17.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 5.4%

• Silver prices fell over 4% from a record high as risk appetite improved and investors shifted back into equities following attempts to ease US-China trade war fears.
• The pullback in silver prices was also influenced by turmoil in US regional banks disclosing loan fraud issues, raising concerns about financial stability and leading to a broader market sell-off.
• Despite the bearish movement, silver remains up more than 3% for the week, supported by geopolitical tensions, rising US debt, expectations of more Federal Reserve rate cuts, and a liquidity crunch in the London silver market.
• The overall market sentiment towards silver was impacted by a combination of factors including global supply crunch, safe-haven demand, geopolitical risks, and concerns over government spending and debt, contributing to the metal's recent volatility.

14.10.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 5.2%

• The recent bearish movement in the price of silver can be attributed to profit-taking by investors after a significant rally in the past few days.
• Despite approaching all-time highs and showing resilience in the face of global uncertainties, the sharp decline today may indicate a temporary pullback in the market.
• Factors such as the potential for US tariffs on silver, supply concerns, and mixed signals regarding Federal Reserve rate cuts may have contributed to the sudden drop in silver prices.
• Investors should closely monitor developments in the global economy, trade policies, and central bank actions to gauge the future direction of the silver market.

12.10.2025 - XAG Commodity was up 5.0%

• Silver prices surged to a three-week high above $51 per ounce, driven by growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut.
• Signs of US economic weakness, such as job losses and falling consumer sentiment, further fueled the bullish sentiment for silver.
• The ongoing US government shutdown and its potential impact on the economy also contributed to the safe-haven demand for precious metals like silver.
• The weakening dollar, making dollar-denominated commodities more attractive, added to the positive momentum for silver prices.

22.09.2025 - XAG Commodity was down 5.7%

• Silver prices saw a sharp decline today, following a recent rally to record highs, as profit-taking sentiment gripped the market.
• The bearish movement was exacerbated by improving risk appetite, driven by easing US-China trade tensions and hopes for a resolution to the US government shutdown.
• President Trump's comments on a potential trade deal with China and the upcoming meeting with President Xi Jinping added to the market uncertainty, contributing to the downward pressure on silver prices.
• Traders are closely monitoring key US inflation data and the expected Federal Reserve rate cut next week, which are likely to influence silver's future price movements amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and safe-haven demand.